CIMA F3 Syllabus C. Financial risks - Forward Rates - Notes 1 / 6
Forward Rates
So, remember what we are looking at here are ways to negate the risk that, in the future, the exchange rates may move against us
So we have bought or agreed a sale now in a foreign currency, but the cash won’t be paid (or received) until a future date
With a forward rate we are simply agreeing a future rate now.
Therefore fixing yourself in against any possible future losses caused by movements in the real exchange rate
However - you also lose out if the actual exchange rate moves in your favour as you have fixed yourself in at a forward rate already
Illustration
UK importer has to pay $1,000 in a months time
He takes the forward rate of $1.8-1.9:£
The bank then has agreed to SELL the dollars (counter currency) to the importer.
Remember the bank SELLS LOW
The exchange rate would therefore be $1.8:£
So, the bank will give the exporter $1,000 in return for £555.
The importer must pay £555
NOTE
If importer cannot fulfill the forward contract agreed (maybe because he didnt receive the goods) the bank will sell the importer the currency and then buy it back again at the current spot rate.
This closes out the forward contract
Advantages of forward rate
Flexible
Straightforward
Disadvantages of forward rate
Contracted commitment (even if you haven’t received money)
Cannot benefit from favourable movements