CIMA F3 Syllabus D. Business valuation - Dividend Valuation - Notes 13 / 15
Essentially this model presumes that a share price is the PV of all future dividends
Calculate this (with or without growth) and multiply it by the total number of shares
It is similar to market capitalisation except it doesn’t use the market share price, rather one worked out using DVM
DVM can be with or without growth.
DVM without Growth
Note:
Cost of Equity will be given, or calculated via CAPM
Take this share price and multiply it by the number of shares
DVM with growth
Note:
Dividend + growth = Dividend end of year 1
Share Capital (50c) $2 million
Dividend per share (just paid) 24c
Dividend paid four years ago 15.25c
Current market return = 15%
Risk free rate = 8%
Equity beta 0.8
Solution
Dividend is growing so use DVM with growth model:
Calculating Growth
Growth not given so have to calculate by extrapolating past dividends as before:
24/15.25 sq root to power of 4 = 1.12 = 12%
So Dividend at end of year 1 = 24 x 1.12
Calculate Cost of Equity (using CAPM)
8 + 0.8 (15-8) = 13.6%
So using DVM with Growth model
Dividend + growth / Cost of Equity - growth (decimal)
Share price = 24x1.12 / 0.136 - 0.12 = 1,680c
Market cap = $16.8 x (2m / 0.5) = $67.2