Using PE ratio 4 / 11

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Question 2b

Louieed Co
Louieed Co, a listed company, is a major supplier of educational material, selling its products in many countries. It supplies schools and colleges and also produces learning material for business and professional exams. Louieed Co has exclusive contracts to produce material for some examining bodies. Louieed Co has a well-defined management structure with formal processes for making major decisions.

Although Louieed Co produces online learning material, most of its profits are still derived from sales of traditional textbooks. Louieed Co’s growth in profits over the last few years has been slow and its directors are currently reviewing its long-term strategy. One area in which they feel that Louieed Co must become much more involved is the production of online testing materials for exams and to validate course and textbook learning.

Bid for Tidded Co
Louieed Co has recently made a bid for Tidded Co, a smaller listed company. Tidded Co also supplies a range of educational material, but has been one of the leaders in the development of online testing and has shown strong profit growth over recent years. All of Tidded Co’s initial five founders remain on its board and still hold 45% of its issued share capital between them. From the start, Tidded Co’s directors have been used to making quick decisions in their areas of responsibility. Although listing has imposed some formalities, Tidded Co has remained focused on acting quickly to gain competitive advantage, with the five founders continuing to give strong leadership.

Louieed Co’s initial bid of five shares in Louieed Co for three shares in Tidded Co was rejected by Tidded Co’s board.

There has been further discussion between the two boards since the initial offer was rejected and Louieed Co’s board is now considering a proposal to offer Tidded Co’s shareholders two shares in Louieed Co for one share in Tidded Co or a cash alternative of $22·75 per Tidded Co share. It is expected that Tidded Co's shareholders will choose one of the following options:

(i) To accept the two-shares-for-one-share offer for all the Tidded Co shares; or,

(ii) To accept the cash offer for all the Tidded Co shares; or,

(iii) 60% of the shareholders will take up the two-shares-for-one-share offer and the remaining 40% will take the cash offer.

In case of the third option being accepted, it is thought that three of the company's founders, holding 20% of the share capital in total, will take the cash offer and not join the combined company. The remaining two founders will probably continue to be involved in the business and be members of the combined company's board.

Louieed Co’s finance director has estimated that the merger will produce annual post-tax synergies of $20 million. He expects Louieed Co’s current price-earnings (P/E) ratio to remain unchanged after the acquisition.

Extracts from the two companies’ most recent accounts are shown below:

Louieed Tidded
$m $m
Profit before finance cost and tax 446 182
Finance costs (74) (24)
Profit before tax 372 158
Tax (76) (30)
Profit after tax 296 128
Issued $1 nominal shares 340 million 90 million
P/E ratios, based on most recent accounts 14 15·9
Long-term liabilities (market value) ($m) 540 193
Cash and cash equivalents ($m) 220 64

The tax rate applicable to both companies is 20%.

Assume that Louieed Co can obtain further debt funding at a pre-tax cost of 7·5% and that the return on cash surpluses is 5% pre-tax.

Assume also that any debt funding needed to complete the acquisition will be reduced instantly by the balances of cash and cash equivalents held by Louieed Co and Tidded Co.

Required:
(b) Calculate the P/E ratios of Tidded Co implied by the terms of Louieed Co’s initial and proposed offers, for all three of the above options. (5 marks)

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Question 2b

Hav Co is a publicly listed company involved in the production of highly technical and sophisticated electronic components for complex machinery. It has a number of diverse and popular products, an active research and development department, significant cash reserves and a highly talented management who are very good in getting products to market quickly.

A new industry that Hav Co is looking to venture into is biotechnology, which has been expanding rapidly and there are strong indications that this recent growth is set to continue. However, Hav Co has limited experience in this industry. Therefore it believes that the best and quickest way to expand would be through acquiring a company already operating in this industry sector.

Strand Co is a private company operating in the biotechnology industry and is owned by a consortium of business angels and company managers. The owner-managers are highly skilled scientists who have developed a number of technically complex products, but have found it difficult to commercialise them. They have also been increasingly constrained by the lack of funds to develop their innovative products further.

Discussions have taken place about the possibility of Strand Co being acquired by Hav Co. Strand Co’s managers have indicated that the consortium of owners is happy for the negotiations to proceed. If Strand Co is acquired, it is expected that its managers would continue to run the Strand Co part of the larger combined company.

Strand Co is of the opinion that most of its value is in its intangible assets, comprising intellectual capital. Therefore, the premium payable on acquisition should be based on the present value to infinity of the after tax excess earnings the company has generated in the past three years, over the average return on capital employed of the biotechnological industry.

However, Hav Co is of the opinion that the premium should be assessed on synergy benefits created by the acquisition and the changes in value, due to the changes in the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio before and after the acquisition.

Given below are extracts of financial information for Hav Co for 2013 and Strand Co for 2011, 2012 and 2013:

Year ended 30 AprilHav Co
2013
$million
Strand Co
2013
$million
Strand Co
2012
$million
Strand Co
2011
$million
Earnings before tax1980397370352
Non-current assets3965882838801
Current Assets968210208198
Share Capital (25c/share)600300300300
Reserves2479183166159
Non-Current Liabilities1500400400400
Current liabilities354209180140

The current average PE ratio of the biotechnology industry is 16•4 times and it has been estimated that Strand Co’s PE ratio is 10% higher than this. However, it is thought that the PE ratio of the combined company would fall to 14•5 times after the acquisition. The annual after tax earnings will increase by $140 million due to synergy benefits resulting from combining the two companies.

Both companies pay tax at 20% per annum and Strand Co’s annual cost of capital is estimated at 7%. Hav Co’s current share price is $9•24 per share. The biotechnology industry’s pre-tax return on capital employed is currently estimated to be 20% per annum.

Hav Co has proposed to pay for the acquisition using one of the following three methods:

(i) A cash offer of $5•72 for each Strand Co share; or
(ii) A cash offer of $1•33 for each Strand Co share plus one Hav Co share for every two Strand Co shares; or
(iii) A cash offer of $1•25 for each Strand Co share plus one $100 3% convertible bond for every $5 nominal value of Strand Co shares. In six years, the bond can be converted into 12 Hav Co shares or redeemed at par.

Required:

Based on the two different opinions expressed by Hav Co and Strand Co, calculate the maximum acquisition premium payable in each case. (6 marks)