Investment appraisal process 2 / 8

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MC Question 28

The following information relates to an investment project which is being evaluated by the directors of Fence Co, a listed company. The initial investment, payable at the start of the first year of operation, is $3·9 million.

Year 1 2 3 4
Net operating cash flow ($000) 1,200 1,500 1,600 1,580
Scrap value ($000) 100

The directors believe that this investment project will increase shareholder wealth if it achieves a return on capital employed greater than 15%. As a matter of policy, the directors require all investment projects to be evaluated using both the payback and return on capital employed methods. Shareholders have recently criticised the directors for using these investment appraisal methods, claiming that Fence Co ought to be using the academically-preferred net present value method.

The directors have a remuneration package which includes a financial reward for achieving an annual return on capital employed greater than 15%. The remuneration package does not include a share option scheme.

Which of the following statements about investment appraisal methods is correct?

A. The return on capital employed method considers the time value of money
B. Return on capital employed must be greater than the cost of equity if a project is to be accepted
C. Riskier projects should be evaluated with longer payback periods
D. Payback period ignores the timing of cash flows within the payback period

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Question 32a

Hebac Co is preparing to launch a new product in a new market which is outside its current business operations. The company has undertaken market research and test marketing at a cost of $500,000, as a result of which it expects the new product to be successful. Hebac Co plans to charge a lower selling price initially and then increase the selling price on the assumption that the new product will establish itself in the new market. Forecast sales volumes, selling prices and variable costs are as follows:

Year 1 2 3 4
Sales volume (units/year) 200,000 800,000 900,000 400,000
Selling price ($/unit) 15 18 22 22
Variable costs ($/unit) 9 9 9 9

Selling price and variable cost are given here in current price terms before taking account of forecast selling price inflation of 4% per year and variable cost inflation of 5% per year.

Incremental fixed costs of $500,000 per year in current price terms would arise as a result of producing the new product. Fixed cost inflation of 8% per year is expected.

The initial investment cost of production equipment for the new product will be $2·5 million, payable at the start of the first year of operation. Production will cease at the end of four years because the new product is expected to have become obsolete due to new technology.

The production equipment would have a scrap value at the end of four years of $125,000 in future value terms.

Investment in working capital of $1·5 million will be required at the start of the first year of operation. Working capital inflation of 6% per year is expected and working capital will be recovered in full at the end of four years.

Hebac Co pays corporation tax of 20% per year, with the tax liability being settled in the year in which it arises. The company can claim tax-allowable depreciation on a 25% reducing balance basis on the initial investment cost, adjusted in the final year of operation for a balancing allowance or charge. Hebac Co currently has a nominal after-tax weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 12% and a real after-tax WACC of 8·5%.

The company uses its current WACC as the discount rate for all investment projects.

Required:
(a) Calculate the net present value of the investment project in nominal terms and comment on its financial acceptability. (12 marks)

Specimen
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Question 4b

PV Co is evaluating an investment proposal to manufacture Product W33, which has performed well in test marketing trials conducted recently by the company’s research and development division. The following information relating to this investment proposal has now been prepared:
Initial investment $2 million
Selling price (current price terms) $20 per unit
Expected selling price inflation 3% per year
Variable operating costs (current price terms) $8 per unit
Fixed operating costs (current price terms) $170,000 per year
Expected operating cost inflation 4% per year
The research and development division has prepared the following demand forecast as a result of its test marketing trials. The forecast reflects expected technological change and its effect on the anticipated life-cycle of Product W33.
Year 1 2 3 4
Demand (units) 60,000 70,000 120,000 45,000
It is expected that all units of Product W33 produced will be sold, in line with the company’s policy of keeping no inventory of finished goods. No terminal value or machinery scrap value is expected at the end of four years, when production of Product W33 is planned to end. For investment appraisal purposes, PV Co uses a nominal (money) discount rate of 10% per year and a target return on capital employed of 30% per year. Ignore taxation.

Required:
(b) Discuss briefly your findings in each section of (a) above and advise whether the investment proposal is financially acceptable. (4 marks)

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